Influence of climate change on river discharges over the Sava River watershed in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Gnjato, Slobodan and Popov, Tatjana and Adžić, Dragutin and Ivanišević, Marko and Trbić, Goran and Bajić, Davorin (2021) Influence of climate change on river discharges over the Sava River watershed in Bosnia and Herzegovina. IDŐJÁRÁS / QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE HUNGARIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE, 125 (3). pp. 449-462. ISSN 0324-6329

Preview

Text 0ab8fa11fabb8d16d25609c91a084b45-125-3-5-gnjato.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview

Abstract

The paper examines changes in air temperature, precipitation, and river discharges on seasonal and annual scale over the Sava River watershed in Bosnia & Herzegovina during the period 1961–2016. Based upon data gathered from 11 meteorological stations and 3 hydrological stations, hydroclimatic variables trends were established by utilizing the nonparametric Mann-Kendall test and the nonparametric Sen’s slope estimator. The results show significant positive seasonal and annual trends (expect for autumn, during which upward trends were insignificant) in air temperature, whereas both positive and negative insignificant seasonal and annual precipitation trends are shown where determined for the entire watershed. Most prominent upward trends in air temperature were found in summer and afterwards in winter and spring, indicating a pronounced warming tendency over the Sava River watershed. Trends in river discharge displayed a negative tendency in all seasons. Nevertheless, a majority of estimated trends of river discharges were weak and statistically insignificant. Throughout the year, river discharges showed significant positive correlation with precipitation, whilst connection with air temperature was mostly significant and negative. The study results suggest that climate is an important factor affecting river regimes, as well as that changes in river discharges are reflecting recent abrupt changes in climatic variables.

Actions (login required)

Edit Item