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Effects of simulated forest cover change on projected climate change - a case study of Hungary

Gálos, Borbála and Jacob, D. and Mátyás, Csaba (2011) Effects of simulated forest cover change on projected climate change - a case study of Hungary. ACTA SILVATICA ET LIGNARIA HUNGARICA, 7. pp. 49-62. ISSN 1786-691X

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Abstract

Climatic effects of forest cover change have been investigated for Hungary applying the regional climate model REMO. For the end of the 21st century (2071–2100) case st udies have been analyzed assuming maximal afforestation (forests co vering all vegetated area) and complete deforestation (forests replaced by grasslands) of t he country. For 2021–2025, the climatic influence o f the potential afforestation based on a detailed nat ional survey has been assessed. The simulation results indicate that maximal afforestation may red uce the projected climate change through cooler and moister conditions for the entire summer period . The magnitude of the simulated climate change mitigating effect of the forest cover increase diff ers among regions. The smallest climatic benefit wa s calculated in the southwestern region, in the area with the potentially strongest climate change. The strongest effects of maximal afforestation are expe cted in the northeastern part of the country. Here, half of the projected precipitation decrease could be relieved and the probability of summer droughts could be reduced. The potential afforestation has a very slight feedback on the regional climate compared to the maximal afforestation scenario

Item Type: Article
Subjects: Q Science / természettudomány > QH Natural history / természetrajz > QH540 Ecology / ökológia
SWORD Depositor: MTMT SWORD
Depositing User: MTMT SWORD
Date Deposited: 09 Oct 2014 13:43
Last Modified: 09 Oct 2014 13:46
URI: http://real.mtak.hu/id/eprint/17632

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