Prospects and expectations: reflections on a science in change

Orlóci, László (2001) Prospects and expectations: reflections on a science in change. Community Ecology, 2 (2). pp. 187-196. ISSN 1585-8553

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Abstract

I use “prospects” to connote the continuing subversion of the environment. “Expectations” refer to what I think Statistics should be making of itself in the era of global change science. I develop thoughts on these in three main sections. In the first, I recount up-to-date information about global warming. This topic is intriguing to me, since global warming is potentially the most subversive environmental process, appears least preventable, and as such, most deserving to be a focal point in ecological study scenarios. In the second section, I discuss briefly the ecological agenda and the implications therein for definition of the sampling environment. The third and last large section explains how I think of what should constitute an applicable statistical dialect for users in global change science. I detail the basic principles, enumerate choices, and deal with other bare necessities upon which such a Statistics should be founded.

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