@article{REAL223756,
       booktitle = {Az amerikai szankci{\'o}s politika hat{\'a}sa a nagyhatalmi verseng{\'e}sre},
          number = {30},
           title = {Az amerikai szankci{\'o}s politika hat{\'a}sa a nagyhatalmi verseng{\'e}sre = The Impact of the U.S. Sanctions Policy on Great Power Rivalry},
          author = {P{\'e}ter Goreczky},
       publisher = {Magyar K{\"u}l{\"u}gyi Int{\'e}zet},
            year = {2023},
         journal = {MKI ELEMZ{\'E}SEK},
        keywords = {K{\'i}na, USA, gazdas{\'a}gi szankci{\'o}k, technol{\'o}giaexport-korl{\'a}toz{\'a}s, Oroszorsz{\'a}g {\ensuremath{|}} China, USA, economic sanctions, technology export control, Russia},
             url = {https://real.mtak.hu/223756/},
        abstract = {A gazdas{\'a}gi szankci{\'o}k alkalmaz{\'a}sa jelent{\H o}s hat{\'a}ssal van a h{\'a}bor{\'u}k k{\"o}zti id{\H o}szakok vil{\'a}ggazdas{\'a}gi {\'e}s -politikai folyamatainak alakul{\'a}s{\'a}ra. Az elemz{\'e}s arra a k{\'e}rd{\'e}sre keresi a v{\'a}laszt, hogy az Egyes{\"u}lt {\'A}llamok napjainkban alkalmazott szankci{\'o}s politik{\'a}j{\'a}nak ? ezen bel{\"u}l az Oroszorsz{\'a}ggal szembeni p{\'e}nz{\"u}gyi szankci{\'o}knak, illetve a K{\'i}na ellen{\'e}ben alkalmazott technol{\'o}giaexport-korl{\'a}toz{\'a}soknak ? milyen hat{\'a}sa van {\'e}s lesz a j{\"o}v{\H o}ben Washington {\'e}s Peking verseng{\'e}s{\'e}re. Az amerikai technol{\'o}giaexportot korl{\'a}toz{\'o} politika v{\'a}ltoz{\'a}sa mutatja, hogy Washington c{\'e}lja befagyasztani K{\'i}na technol{\'o}giai fejletts{\'e}g{\'e}t a jelenlegi szinten. Az Oroszorsz{\'a}ggal szemben hozott p{\'e}nz{\"u}gyi szankci{\'o}k nem gyors{\'i}tott{\'a}k fel egyel{\H o}re a doll{\'a}r tr{\'o}nfoszt{\'a}s{\'a}t {\'e}s a renminbi t{\'e}rnyer{\'e}s{\'e}t. Az Oroszorsz{\'a}g ellen hozott int{\'e}zked{\'e}sek hat{\'a}s{\'a}t tomp{\'i}tani tudt{\'a}k {\'A}zsia egyes gazdas{\'a}gai, ami a vil{\'a}ggazdas{\'a}g s{\'u}lypontj{\'a}nak eltol{\'o}d{\'a}s{\'a}t jelzi. Gazdas{\'a}g{\'a}nak s{\'u}lya miatt val{\'o}sz{\'i}n{\H u}leg az USA vonakodna ugyanazokat az eszk{\"o}z{\"o}ket bevetni K{\'i}n{\'a}val szemben, mint Oroszorsz{\'a}g eset{\'e}ben. A tov{\'a}bbi fejl{\H o}d{\'e}shez K{\'i}n{\'a}nak egyel{\H o}re {\'e}rdeke a gazdas{\'a}gi kapcsolatok fenntart{\'a}sa a Nyugattal, ez{\'e}rt r{\"o}vid t{\'a}von ink{\'a}bb egy defenz{\'i}v ellenszankci{\'o}s strat{\'e}gia j{\"o}het sz{\'o}ba Peking sz{\'a}m{\'a}ra. Hossz{\'u} t{\'a}von a nemzetk{\"o}zi p{\'e}nz{\"u}gyi rendszer {\'a}talakul{\'a}sa r{\'e}v{\'e}n tomp{\'i}thatja K{\'i}na az esetleges amerikai szankci{\'o}s politika hat{\'a}sait. {\ensuremath{|}} Sanctions have a huge impact on the interwar periods of global politics and economy. This policy brief explores how the current U.S. sanctions policy ? especially financial sanctions on Russia and technology export control targeting China ? influences the present and future dynamics of the Washington ? Beijing rivalry. Changes of the U.S. technology export control policy reveal that Washington?s goal is to freeze Chinese technology development at the current level. Financial sanctions on Russia have not accelerated so far the dethronement of the dollar and the rise of the renminbi. Some Asian economies could blunt the effects of measures against Russia indicating a shift in gravity of the global economy. Due to the weight of the Chinese economy, presumably the USA would be reluctant to introduce the same measures against Beijing as in Russia?s case. For its future development China still needs to be connected with Western economies, therefore in the short run a defensive countermeasure strategy is the most probable choice for Beijing. As a long-term strategy, China could blunt the effects of a possible U.S. sanctions policy through reshaping the international financial system.}
}