The discovery of ETI as a high-consequence, low-probability event

Almár, Iván and Tarter, Jill (2011) The discovery of ETI as a high-consequence, low-probability event. Acta Astronautica, 68 (3-4). pp. 358-361. ISSN 0094-5765

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Abstract

The authors use the opportunity of presenting a paper during the 51st International Astronautical Congress in Rio de Janeiro to introduce a numerical method of characterizing the potential significance of any announcement of discovery of extraterrestrial intelligence. This approach uses the Torino Scale (for characterizing asteroid impacts) as a model for constructing a proposed “Rio Scale” to assist the discussion and interpretation of any claimed discovery of ETI.

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