Ádámné Pokovai, Klára and Hollós, Roland and Vidnyánszky-Bottyán, Emese and Kis, Anna and Marton, Tibor and Pongrácz, Rita and Pásztor, László and Hidy, Dóra and Barcza, Zoltán and Fodor, Nándor (2020) Estimation of agro-ecosystem services using biogeochemical models. IDŐJÁRÁS / QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE HUNGARIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE, 124 (2). pp. 209-225. ISSN 0324-6329
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Abstract
Agro-ecosystem services are the various benefits (e.g., crop yield) that people freely obtain from the properly functioning agricultural lands. The estimated changes in climatic conditions including increasing temperature, with particular attention to the summer means, together with the expected changes in the temporal precipitation distribution pose enormous challenge to the agriculture. Currently, dynamic system models are most frequently used tools that are capable of estimating the prospective effects of climate change on agro-ecosystems. A deterministic biogeochemical model is presented that is developed by Hungarian scientists within the framework of the AgroMo project. The main goal of the AgroMo project is to develop climate-smart strategies in order to mitigate the effect of potential future hazards in the context of climate change by 1) creating a complex, state-of-the-art experimental platform; 2) producing ten new, 0.1° spatial resolution climate scenarios based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios; 3) developing an integrated assessment and modeling framework that is capable of simulating every major land use types; 4) analyzing/simulating a great number of adaptation strategies that can be used to support decision makers. Based on the preliminary simulation results, climate change will most likely expose significant negative impact on the spring sown crops in Hungary. Although, the yield losses could be avoided with irrigation or could be mitigated with earlier sowing, the role of winter crops is likely to become more significant in Hungary in the future.
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| Additional Information: | Department of Soil Physics and Water Management Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman Ottó út 15, Budapest, H-1022, Hungary Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány P. sétány 1/A, Budapest, H-1117, Hungary Excellence Center, Faculty of Science, Eötvös Loránd University, Brunszvik u. 2, Martonvásár, H-2462, Hungary Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, Prague 6, 165 21, Czech Republic Department of Soil Mapping and Environmental Informatics Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman Ottó út 15, Budapest, H-1022, Hungary Crop Production Department, Agricultural Institute Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Brunszvik u. 2, Martonvásár, H-2462, Hungary Cited By :2 Export Date: 7 July 2020 Correspondence Address: Pokovai, K.; Department of Soil Physics and Water Management Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman Ottó út 15, Hungary; email: pokovai.klara@agrar.mta.hu Funding details: GINOP-2.3.2-15-2016-00028 Funding details: European Regional Development Fund, FEDER Funding details: Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, H2020 Funding text 1: Acknowledgement: The research was funded by the Széchenyi 2020 programme, the European Regional Development Fund, the Hungarian Government (GINOP-2.3.2-15-2016-00028), and it was supported by the grant "Advanced research supporting the forestry and wood-processing sector´s adaptation to global change and the 4th industrial revolution", No. CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000803 financed by OP RDE. Department of Soil Physics and Water Management Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman Ottó út 15, Budapest, H-1022, Hungary Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány P. sétány 1/A, Budapest, H-1117, Hungary Excellence Center, Faculty of Science, Eötvös Loránd University, Brunszvik u. 2, Martonvásár, H-2462, Hungary Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, Prague 6, 165 21, Czech Republic Department of Soil Mapping and Environmental Informatics Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman Ottó út 15, Budapest, H-1022, Hungary Crop Production Department, Agricultural Institute Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Brunszvik u. 2, Martonvásár, H-2462, Hungary Cited By :2 Export Date: 18 August 2020 Correspondence Address: Pokovai, K.; Department of Soil Physics and Water Management Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Herman Ottó út 15, Hungary; email: pokovai.klara@agrar.mta.hu Funding details: GINOP-2.3.2-15-2016-00028 Funding details: European Regional Development Fund, FEDER Funding details: Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, H2020 Funding text 1: Acknowledgement: The research was funded by the Széchenyi 2020 programme, the European Regional Development Fund, the Hungarian Government (GINOP-2.3.2-15-2016-00028), and it was supported by the grant "Advanced research supporting the forestry and wood-processing sector´s adaptation to global change and the 4th industrial revolution", No. CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000803 financed by OP RDE. |
| Subjects: | Q Science / természettudomány > QE Geology / földtudományok > QE04 Meteorology / meteorológia |
| SWORD Depositor: | MTMT SWORD |
| Depositing User: | MTMT SWORD |
| Date Deposited: | 09 Oct 2020 10:23 |
| Last Modified: | 09 Oct 2020 10:23 |
| URI: | http://real.mtak.hu/id/eprint/115845 |
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