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The Impact of Parameter Estimation Uncertainty in Extreme Wind Speed Models

Kenéz, Ágnes and Joó, Attila László (2023) The Impact of Parameter Estimation Uncertainty in Extreme Wind Speed Models. POLLACK PERIODICA : AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION SCIENCES, 18 (1). pp. 78-83. ISSN 1788-1994 (print); 1788-3911 (online)

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Abstract

All the available information and uncertainties should be taken into account in a model to give correct answer to a stated problem and evaluate the performance of a structure. This study deals with the impact of parameter estimation uncertainty in extreme wind speeds on the assessed reliability index using frequentist approach. The peak-over-threshold approach with an automated threshold selection method is applied and bootstrapping is used to determine the 95% confidence interval of the estimated reliability index. Based on the results practical recommendations, i.e., a framework of this procedure are derived on how to handle peak-over-threshold in extreme wind speed models for the application of the proposed performance-based wind engineering design.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: MTA KFB támogatási szerződés alapján archiválva
Uncontrolled Keywords: extreme wind speed, parameter estimation uncertainty, peaks-over-threshold method, generalized pareto distribution
Subjects: T Technology / alkalmazott, műszaki tudományok > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) / általános mérnöki tudományok
SWORD Depositor: MTMT SWORD
Depositing User: MTMT SWORD
Date Deposited: 01 Aug 2023 11:48
Last Modified: 01 Aug 2023 11:48
URI: http://real.mtak.hu/id/eprint/170792

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