China’s Militarisation and the Indian Ocean : An Assessment of China’s Military Modernisation, Footprint in the Indian Ocean and the Future of the Quad

Papp, Gábor András (2024) China’s Militarisation and the Indian Ocean : An Assessment of China’s Military Modernisation, Footprint in the Indian Ocean and the Future of the Quad. NEMZET ÉS BIZTONSÁG: BIZTONSÁGPOLITIKAI SZEMLE, 16 (2). pp. 20-40. ISSN 1789-5286 (nyomtatott); 2559-8651 (elektronikus)

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Abstract

What is behind Beijing’s increased assertiveness towards its regional neighbours? Many use the theory of transition of power: that China is becoming a superpower and it challenges the status quo, mostly the United States, and attempts to replace it globally.2 Others tend to believe that China’s real desire is to become a regional hegemon by establishing a China-centred sphere in Asia. Some believe that their only aim is to just simply overcome the “century of humiliation” from its recent past by continuing their economic boom. This paper presents a view that China is trying to reconstruct the status quo, and in order to do that the country needs to establish a China-centred Asia and most importantly a China-centred Indio- Pacific region. In its first section, this paper takes a look at the country’s incredible military modernisation by examining those events and leaders that pushed this development. Then, the section also points out how China plans to reconstruct the regional status quo with the help of its economic power. The second part aims to present the Indian Ocean region’s current status as a “battlefield” between China and India and why does it matter in the first place. Finally, in the third part the paper argues that the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue is the best tool to deter Beijing in the future and it must be strengthened properly by, among other things, a deepened U.S.–India defence cooperation.

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