Changing trends in injury patterns of undocumented migrants along the Hungarian–Serbian border from 2018 to 2022

SafvatyAmin, Hananeh and Kurokawa, Takayuki and Pozder, András and Gárgyán, István and Török, László and Varga, Endre (2024) Changing trends in injury patterns of undocumented migrants along the Hungarian–Serbian border from 2018 to 2022. INJURY: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THE CARE OF THE INJURED, 55. No.-111535. ISSN 0020-1383

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Abstract

Objective The Traumatology Clinic of the University of Szeged is a level one Trauma center situated near the Hungarian - Serbian border, where a 4 m tall fence constructed in 2018 serves as a barricade leading to numerous trauma cases. The objective of this study is to characterize the epidemiology of injuries, challenges, and recent trends whilst treating these undocumented migrants in Hungary. Materials and methods A national retrospective mono-centrical study was performed, examining 982 patients who were admitted to the emergency trauma center in the University of Szeged between January 2018 and December 2022, using data from our electronic administrative system (eMedSol). Factors such as basic epidemiology, country of origin, fractures- according to the AO classification- and its respective treatments, mechanism of injury, duration of stay, and costs were assessed to set as a basis for prediction using a regression model. Results A total of 982 patients from 2018 to 2022 were included in the study. Patterns of injury included calcaneal fractures in 2018 and 2019 whereas in 2021 and 2022 along with the exponential increase in patient number, bilateral calcaneal fractures, open and multi-fragmentary tibial fractures were also observed. Additionally, seasonal variations, favoring the months of September through November were observed. Treatment cost ratios, especially surgeries, have also been consistent with the pattern of proximalizing injuries; more proximal surgeries indicate higher surgical costs which is evidently visible in the significantly higher cost ratio dedicated to surgery in 2022. Conclusion While migration seems to be a global problem affecting governments and citizens alike, rarely do we understand the direct consequences of illegal migration affecting healthcare services. Hungary in particular created a 4 m tall wall between Serbia in 2019 with means of preventing illegal migration, which in turn led to gradual and later an exponential increase in the number of injured patients particularly in the years 2021 and 2022. Undocumented migrant cases have increased exponentially between 2018 and 2022, with certain patterns seen not only in the injury types but also in seasonal variations and cost expectations. Injuries have been showing a trend of proximalization and have been of more serious quality, including bilateral and/or open injuries. Revisions after surgery were virtually impossible due to the discharging of patients back to border control after their definitive treatment. The need for adequate quality surgical care, manpower and financial aid should be considered.

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