Evaluation of drought in Bosnia and Herzegovina during the period 1956–2022

Papić, Dragan (2025) Evaluation of drought in Bosnia and Herzegovina during the period 1956–2022. IDŐJÁRÁS / QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE HUNGARIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE, 129 (3). pp. 357-372. ISSN 0324-6329

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Abstract

The issue of drought is treated as an important natural phenomenon that oftenhas a negative impact on both the livelihoods of the population and environmentalprotection. Many parts of the world have been affected by catastrophic droughts in the past,leading to prolonged periods of famine and disease among local populations. According tothe definition provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2014 (IPCC),drought can be assessed as a potential hazard and challenge depending on the evaluation ofits impact on the population and its economic activities. The aim of this study is todetermine drought periods in Bosnia and Herzegovina and to highlight their consequences.For the purpose of analysis, available data on average monthly precipitation from 12meteorological stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina from 1956 to 2022 were used. TheStandardized Precipitation Index (SPI-1 and SPI-3) was used to determine meteorologicaldrought, including its intensity, frequency, and duration. Based on the results obtained, arelatively uniform frequency of drought was observed across the seasons. On the otherhand, extreme droughts were most pronounced in winter and spring months. The maximumduration of drought was recorded in Zenica from November 1989 to October 1990.

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