Tóth, János József (2026) Data Pollution as Resistance : A Commentary on Partisan Responses to Government-Dependent Pollsters before the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary Elections. KOME: AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PURE COMMUNICATION INQUIRY, 14 (1). pp. 137-143. ISSN 2063-7330
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Abstract
Prior to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections, pro-government and government-independent pollsters published, quite consistently, hugely different figures on the levels of support for the main government and the main opposition parties. In the wake of the elections, it became apparent that rather than the ruling Fidesz party finishing narrowly ahead, as predicted, government-independent pollsters’ numbers were much closer to the supermajority the opposition party achieved on the 12 April voting. This commentary reflects on the insincerity of the partisan cheerleader influencing surveys conducted by government-dependent pollsters as reported on Hungarian-language Reddit forums, and consider it a possible contributing factor in their forecasts being less accurate than those of government-independent ones.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | PARTISANSHIP; election forecasting; Expressive responding; survey quality; response substitution; |
| Subjects: | J Political Science / politológia > JN Political institutions (Europe) / politikai intézmények, államigazgatás, Európa > JN18 Hungary / Magyarország |
| SWORD Depositor: | MTMT SWORD |
| Depositing User: | MTMT SWORD |
| Date Deposited: | 21 May 2026 08:25 |
| Last Modified: | 21 May 2026 08:25 |
| URI: | https://real.mtak.hu/id/eprint/238807 |
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