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The Monetary Transmission Effects of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Hungary: A Simplified DSGE Simulation

Gyüre, Ferenc (2026) The Monetary Transmission Effects of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Hungary: A Simplified DSGE Simulation. PÉNZÜGYI SZEMLE/PUBLIC FINANCE QUARTERLY, 72 (2). pp. 97-111. ISSN 0031-496X (nyomtatott); 2064-8278 (online)

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Abstract

The paper examines how the introduction of a moderate, interest-neutral (policy-rate-remunerated) central bank digital currency (CBDC) modifies the short-run transmission of monetary policy in Hungary’s 2025 macroeconomic environment. It extends a baseline New Keynesian DSGE model with a CBDC, in which household savings are split between deposits and CBDC while bank lending is tied to deposits, so deposit substitution can weaken intermediation. Following calibration, simulations and impulse responses suggest that rule-based stabilisation largely remains intact, but the responses of real variables are more muted and adjustment may be slower.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: central bank digital currency, monetary transmission, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, bank intermediation, financial stability
Subjects: H Social Sciences / társadalomtudományok > HG Finance / pénzügy > HG1 Banking / bankügy
SWORD Depositor: MTMT SWORD
Depositing User: MTMT SWORD
Date Deposited: 30 Jul 2026 10:28
Last Modified: 30 Jul 2026 10:28
URI: https://real.mtak.hu/id/eprint/243528

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