Szám, Dorottya and Hetesi, Zsolt and Takács, András Péter and Keve, Gábor (2025) Study of relative humidity with Markov chains in the Tokaj-Hegyalja wine region. PROGRESS IN AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 21 (1). pp. 233-252. ISSN 1786-335X
|
Text
446-article-p233.pdf - Published Version Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (755kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The aim of our research is to contribute to the modeling of relative humidity with Markov chains and its use in crop protection forecasting in the Tokaj-Hegyalja wine region. The two most common wine grape varieties in this region are Vitis vinifera cv. Furmint and Vitis vinifera cv. Hárslevelű. For noble rot on these varieties, humidity in the optimum range is an essential environmental condition. Using 10-minute and 60-minute resolution humidity data sets from the Hungarian Meteorological Service (HungaroMet) for the period 2002−2020, we estimated the probability that a random humidity measurement will show a given result (five humidity categories) in the future. The mathematical model used for this research is the theory of Markov chains, a new approach to statistical analysis of relative humidity data. It is pointed out that the Markov process of relative humidity variation and the results of a 60-minute resolution data series across 19 years of study can be used to model humidity.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Ludovika University of Public Service, Department of Regional Water Management, Budapest, Hungary Pécsi Tudományegyetem, Institute of Biology, Pecs, Hungary Ludovika University of Public Service, Department of Water and Environmental Security, Budapest, Hungary Pécsi Tudományegyetem, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Pecs, Hungary Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Department of Plant Protection, Godollo, Hungary Export Date: 06 November 2025; Cited By: 0; Correspondence Address: D. Szám; Department of Regional Water Management, Faculty of Water Sciences, Ludovika University of Public Service, 6500 Baja, Hungary; email: szam.dorottya.reka@gmail.com |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Vitis vinifera; Markov chains; relative humidity; Tokaj-Hegyalja; noble rot; |
| Subjects: | Q Science / természettudomány > QC Physics / fizika > QC980-QC999 Climatology and climate change / klimatológia és éghajlatváltozás Q Science / természettudomány > QH Natural history / természetrajz > QH301 Biology / biológia S Agriculture / mezőgazdaság > S1 Agriculture (General) / mezőgazdaság általában S Agriculture / mezőgazdaság > SB Plant culture / növénytermesztés |
| SWORD Depositor: | MTMT SWORD |
| Depositing User: | MTMT SWORD |
| Date Deposited: | 24 Sep 2026 10:58 |
| Last Modified: | 24 Sep 2026 10:58 |
| URI: | https://real.mtak.hu/id/eprint/247477 |
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |
