Fraud Detection in Financial Statements Applying Benford's Law with Monte Carlo Simulation

Pavlović, Vladan and Knežević, Goranka and Joksimović, Marijana and Joksimović, Dušan (2019) Fraud Detection in Financial Statements Applying Benford's Law with Monte Carlo Simulation. Acta Oeconomica, 69 (2). pp. 217-239. ISSN 0001-6373

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Abstract

Benford's Law is a useful tool for detecting fraud in financial statements. In this paper we test the financial item named ‘Work performed by the undertaking for its own purpose and capitalised’ applying this tool. The data are taken from the financial reports of all companies submitted to the Serbian Business Register Agency for the period of 2008–2013. Our conclusion shows that there is a very high probability that the frequency distribution of the second digit does not satisfy Benford's Law. In other words, it implies that certain manipulations have been usually done with the second digit of the aforementioned item in the financial statement. This research confirms our hypothesis that financial statement frauds are usually conducted using the second digit.

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