Water-based regional security complexes in the Middle East and North Africa: the Jordan River, the Tigris–Euphrates river system, the Nile – what role, if any?

Nagyné Rózsa, Erzsébet (2023) Water-based regional security complexes in the Middle East and North Africa: the Jordan River, the Tigris–Euphrates river system, the Nile – what role, if any? SCIENTIA ET SECURITAS, 3 (4). pp. 333-342. ISSN 2732-2688

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Abstract

Water and rivers have played an essential role in the existence and development of mankind ever since the most an- cient times. The first great civilizations emerged along the great rivers: along the Jordan, the Tigris–Euphrates and the Nile in the Middle and East North Africa (and elsewhere, such as along the Ganges-Brahmaputra system). While nowadays this very same region is exposed to probably the most severe water shortage and even scarcity, declining water resources are expected to cause major issues in the region due to the population increase and the effects of climate change. This may soon result in water related local or regional conflicts if not wars. The paper examines what role water plays in the rationale of regional security (sub-)complexes of the Middle East and North Africa, respec- tively.

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