First Drafts for the Regional Macroeconomic Model of Győr and its Agglomeration

Koppány, Krisztián (2015) First Drafts for the Regional Macroeconomic Model of Győr and its Agglomeration. In: Some Current Issues in Economics. International Research Institute s.r.o., pp. 319-332. ISBN 978-80-89691-20-3

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Abstract

Economic analysis of an area, exploring its macroeconomic relations using quantitative methods, can have a great importance on both national and regional levels. A region’s total production, output, final demand and value added disaggregated to sectoral-territorial level are the key elements of local development and economic growth. A model describing their relations and expected values, suitable for regional forecasting and planning can be an essential tool for the development of the district, capable of elaborating its details and forecasting expected quantified effects. What kind of multiplicative effects can the development of the businesses, governance, investments, local, governmental and EU resources utilized in the area, appearance and disappearance of actors have on the economy of the region? How would the local economy be affected by the change of the final consumption’s level and structure, the import demand of the consumption and production from outside the region or the country, or the increase of the export? What kind of impact could the technological changes or the shift of the supplier relations have on a region? Does the application of certain local tax allowances or other incentives have a positive net result for the governance and economy? Answers to these questions could be found with this model. The applications and the groups of potential users can be diverse. Calculations with the model can be utilized not only in impact studies, but also as a decision support tool for the actors of the regional governance or private sector. It can also be helpful for the assessment and enforcement of the bargaining power of businesses, non-profit organizations and consumers as well.

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