Innovative Methodologies for Measuring and Analysing Corruption Risk

Temesi, Mária and Kovács, László (2026) Innovative Methodologies for Measuring and Analysing Corruption Risk. BELÜGYI SZEMLE / ACADEMIC JOURNAL OF INTERNAL AFFAIRS: A BELÜGYMINISZTÉRIUM SZAKMAI TUDOMÁNYOS FOLYÓIRATA (2010-), 74 (2). pp. 307-335. ISSN 2062-9494

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Abstract

Aim: This study presents a new methodology developed within the framework of the medium-term National Anti-Corruption Strategy (2024–2025) for assessing corruption exposure at the level of government positions and job categories (hereafter: position-based assessment). The paper introduces an analytical model designed to quantify corruption exposure in a structured and comparable way.Methodology: The methodology was developed within the KAR-MAP software system (Corruption Risk Identification System – Monitoring, Analytics, Prevention) to measure corruption exposure across public service positions. The objective was to establish an evidence-based approach capable of identifying the presence, magnitude, and accumulation of corruption exposure factors (KT1–KT20), as well as the effects of responsibility dimensions and the ranking of positions by exposure level. To ensure comparability, these elements are integrated into a single composite indicator the KKF (from the Hungarian Korrupciós Kitettségi Főszám, i.e., Corruption Exposure Composite Score). The KKF aggregates the distribution and intensity of exposure factors into a normalized, comparable metric without disclosing the protected aggregation logic, providing a structured, quantitative representation of corruption exposure.Findings: The methodology aligns with the corruption-prevention frameworks of the OECD and UNODC and supports both organizational-level and position-level analysis. By linking micro-level job-specific exposure patterns with macro-level integrity frameworks, it offers a new analytical layer for international integrity assessment practices. Pilot applications confirmed that identifying exposure hotspots supports targeted integrity-development interventions and strengthens internal control mechanisms.Value: The methodology and its associated digital analytical environment together constitute a robust and scalable tool that is capable not only of identifying corruption risks, but also of creating a tangible, operational deterrent through their continuous monitoring. The measurement process makes transparent where corruption risks are concentrated within the organization, thereby strengthening organizational integrity and fostering a conscious culture of corruption prevention.

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