Oroszország elszigetelése a technológiától – mennyire hatékony a Nyugat stratégiai embargója?

Márkus, Ádám and Mező, Dóra and Fenyves, Veronika and Erdey, László (2025) Oroszország elszigetelése a technológiától – mennyire hatékony a Nyugat stratégiai embargója? KÜLGAZDASÁG, 69 (7-8). pp. 3-42. ISSN 0324-4202

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Abstract

Although Russia has been able to circumvent Western strategic embargoes, this study shows that this does not indicate the failure of sanctions. Sanctions are mechanisms that impose significant economic costs on those affected and provide other actors with previously unavailable benefits. 4 M Abstract Isolating Russia from technology – how effective is the West’s strategic embargo? ÁDÁM MÁRKUS – DÓRA MEZŐ – VERONIKA FENYVES – LÁSZLÓ ERDEY The study provides a detailed analysis of the impact of the strategic embargo imposed on Russia on dual-use products classified as “high priority” by the European Union and its allies. Drawing on the most detailed and up-to-date data available and taking a broader view, the paper confirms that Russia’s isolation has been relatively unsuccessful in the short term in the product group in question. In a disrupted system of geopolitical relations, the sanctions have reinforced some shifts that had already begun and, in some cases, have had unexpected consequences. The use of intermediary countries in foreign trade has led to significant price increases and deterioration in the quality of critical goods for Russia. The effectiveness of sanctions should not be assessed based on the otherwise unattainable requirements of a total blockade, but rather on their ability to cause lasting economic and strategic tensions in the target country. This is one of the most important conclusions of this paper.

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