Megatrends

Koller, Boglárka and Marján, Attila (2023) Megatrends. In: Security, Resilience and Sustainability of the European Union. Ludovika Egyetemi Kiadó, Budapest, pp. 33-45. ISBN 9786156598042

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Abstract

The proposed chapter introduces some of the underlying and long-term developments – megatrends – (societal, economic, geopolitical and technological) that are key to the thorough understanding of the world we live in. Appreciating the importance of megatrends is also necessary for making predictions regarding the future. Analysing issues regarding security – understood in the broadest possible sense, in line with the approach chosen by EU Secure – should also be embedded in the general framework of megatrends studies. Therefore, this introductory chapter will guide learners through sev- eral topical issues in megatrend analysis, such as the ongoing geopolitical shift, demography and ageing, migratory pressures and their potential long-term consequences. Environmental sustainability, water security and climate change, coupled with overpopulation and overconsumption are serious challenges in the post-industrial world and long-term worries for scientists, policy-makers and the population alike. Artificial intelligence is, on the other hand, an emerging issue that (with mass robotisation) will have major security related consequences. This chapter has no capacity to detail all relevant megatrends, therefore it focuses on political and institutional issues that determine EU security and its existential dilemmas.

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